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Bitcoin’s Biggest Jump Since July Leaves Traders Speculating Why

(Bloomberg) —

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Bitcoin jumped, rising in a matter of minutes to its biggest daily gain since July, and other digital currencies surged in a shock rally that followed the largest monthly decline since May.

The largest cryptocurrency by market value rose as much as 10% to $47,884 early in New York trading before paring gains. Ethereum, Litecoin and EOS also jumped, with the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index rising as much as 8.9%. Bitcoin had slumped 7.6% in September amid concern about increasing regulatory pressure in China and the U.S.

Traders offered a variety of possible reasons for the gains, while noting that the fractionalized market leaves digital assets vulnerable to volatile price swings. Some pointed to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments Thursday that the central bank had “no intention” to ban cryptocurrencies, while other cited price levels such as moving averages that are closely watched by technical analysts.

“Markets have been trading sideways for weeks, over a lack of regulatory clarity and statements from U.S. authorities indicating they were seeking to significantly curtail crypto activity,” said Leah Wald, chief executive of crypto asset manager Valkyrie Investments. “That, combined with weakness in the stock market, and the month of October being a typically bullish time for crypto markets, could signal a shift to risk-on trading in crypto markets for the next several weeks, as investors seek returns in non-traditional assets.”

Crypto-related stocks, including Marathon Digital Holdings Inc., Riot Blockchain Inc. and Bit Digital Inc., also gained Friday as Bitcoin surged.

Powell said in a Congressional hearing Thursday that he had “no intention” on banning cryptocurrencies. He did, however, add that stablecoins might be appropriate for regulation.

Elsewhere, Stuart Alderoty, the general counsel for Ripple Labs, tweeted that a press release saying the company settled a lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was fake. The XRP token that is at the center of the lawsuit, jumped as much as 13% before paring gains.

Despite falling in September, Bitcoin posted a 25% gain in the third quarter. That compared with a drop of 41% in the prior three months.

Technicians turned to the charts for clues as to where Bitcoin could go next. Antoni Trenchev, managing partner and co-founder of Nexo, a crypto lender, said he was encouraged that the swift move took Bitcoin above its 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages in one quick pass.

Earlier: Bitcoin Rises as Technicians Probe Whether Rally Is Sustainable

In addition, the MACD gauge — or the moving average convergence divergence — has turned positive, confirming the upward sentiment shift.

But, Trenchev added, “be cautious, sudden accelerating price action can hastily unwind.”

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